Velo Clube vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |