Velo Clube vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
PFC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
INT
2 - 3
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAU
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
VEL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 3
GRE
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
3 - 2
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
2 - 4
GRÊ
14%
19%
68%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
TAB
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
6 - 1
TAB
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |