Velo Clube vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 1
MAT
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
VEL
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 4
CAP
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 3
DES
39%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |