Velo Clube vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
3 - 1
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
RIO
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
VEL
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |