Velo Clube vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
XVD
3 - 2
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
VEL
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
MIR
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 3
PEN
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |