Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Final
Global 2-1
Velo Clube vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
VEL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 1
TAU
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |