Velo Clube vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
3 - 1
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
RIO
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
VEL
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |