Velo Clube vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 2
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
4 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIN
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |