Velo Clube vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
VEL
42%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TAB
3 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 3
ATI
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
8 - 1
MAT
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
2 - 2
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |