Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 2-3
Velo Clube vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BER
0 - 3
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOV
19%
22%
60%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 3
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAR
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |