Velo Clube vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
2 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
VEL
41%
26%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |