Velo Clube vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
VEL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
BAT
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAT
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRÊ
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |