Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Velo Clube vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
VEL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
FER
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 4
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |