Velo Clube vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
OES
3 - 2
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 2
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAP
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 4
RIO
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MIR
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
BJK
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 0
MAD
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |