Velo Clube vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIO
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
VEL
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 2
SAO
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
2 - 1
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 4
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |