Velo Clube vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
VEL
19%
25%
57%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 2
BER
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 3
VEL
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
RIO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 3
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |