Velo Clube vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SEP
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VEL
33%
24%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 1
GRÊ
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
AUD
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |