Velo Clube vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OES
0 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
XVD
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |