Velo Clube vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BER
0 - 3
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
BER
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ATI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
FER
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |