Velo Clube vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
VEL
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
MIR
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
LIN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 3
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RBB
4 - 1
FER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
SAO
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |