Velo Clube vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
VEL
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 2
VEL
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 4
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
FER
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |