Velo Clube vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VEL
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OES
0 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
PRI
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COM
0 - 3
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |