Velo Clube vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
VEL
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VOT
3 - 0
VEL
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 3
BSP
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 2
TAU
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
VEL
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
COM
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
VOT
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
JOS
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
COM
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |