Velo Clube vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
VEL
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BER
0 - 4
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAP
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
DES
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |