Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Velo Clube vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAU
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
1 - 1
VEL
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRE
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
VEL
19%
25%
57%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 2
BER
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 3
BER
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAP
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAP
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |