Paulista A3 Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Velo Clube vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
VEL
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
3 - 3
PRI
59%
23%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 4
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
5 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |