Vellmar vs Wattenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 3
KKA
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BUC
1 - 3
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WOR
2 - 3
VEL
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
ERZ
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAU
44%
25%
32%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 1
SWM
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
FSV
1 - 0
WAT
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
KKA
2 - 0
WAT
82%
13%
5%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BUC
1 - 0
WAT
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
VIK
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |