Vellmar vs Viktoria Urberach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LEH
3 - 0
VEL
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOH
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
4 - 2
VEL
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
VIK
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOH
0 - 1
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Urberach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
URB
0 - 1
FUL
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAU
3 - 0
URB
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
URB
1 - 5
SFS
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HES
3 - 0
URB
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
URB
0 - 0
BAU
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |