Vellmar vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FSV
5 - 0
VEL
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 5
HES
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 3
WAL
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 1
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
FSV
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
WAL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VIK
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAU
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
KKA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |