Vellmar vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
VEL
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
4 - 3
VIK
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 2
WAL
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KKA
2 - 4
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GOR
0 - 1
VEL
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
4 - 1
BHE
55%
22%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 2
WOR
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 2
FER
44%
26%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
WUR
24%
26%
50%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 4
KIC
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |