Vellmar vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 2
VEL
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 2
HES
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SCN
3 - 0
VEL
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
VIK
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
KKA
1 - 0
VEL
51%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KKA
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
GOR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
HES
1 - 1
ERZ
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EWM
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DAR
4 - 0
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |