Vellmar vs Eintr. Wald-Michelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
0 - 3
ERZ
29%
27%
45%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 2
VEL
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 2
HES
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Eintr. Wald-Michelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
EWM
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HES
4 - 0
EWM
84%
12%
5%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
EWM
4 - 0
FRA
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
EWM
0 - 5
BAU
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -3 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FUL
4 - 0
EWM
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |