Vellmar vs Schwalmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
7 - 4
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
BAU
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
HUN
1 - 1
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 2
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 2
VEL
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Schwalmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SWM
1 - 1
BHE
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ESC
3 - 2
SWM
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SWM
0 - 4
WUR
27%
25%
48%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
VIK
5 - 1
SWM
76%
16%
8%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
SWM
0 - 6
KKA
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |