Vellmar vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 2
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
URB
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SWM
1 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 2
HUN
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
5 - 1
WOR
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
URB
1 - 1
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FSV
4 - 1
WUR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
KIC
5 - 0
WUR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 1
SWM
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |