Vellmar vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
FUL
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 0
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 0
URB
27%
23%
49%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 2
VEL
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 3
VEL
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BUC
3 - 2
WUR
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
WUR
0 - 0
WAL
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
HUN
3 - 3
WUR
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 2
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
KIC
1 - 0
WUR
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |