Vellmar vs Lohfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
HUN
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAY
2 - 0
VEL
66%
20%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 4
ESC
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 0
VEL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 5
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LOH
0 - 4
WUR
18%
23%
59%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 1
LOH
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LOH
1 - 3
WAL
14%
21%
66%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
LOH
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOH
0 - 6
ESC
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -2 |