Vellmar vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
SCN
3 - 0
VEL
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
VIK
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
KKA
1 - 0
VEL
51%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 0
FUL
36%
25%
40%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
HES
3 - 1
BAU
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LOH
0 - 4
HES
16%
22%
61%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
HES
5 - 1
SVB
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 4
HES
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
HES
4 - 0
KKA
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |