Vellmar vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
VEL
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 1
JUG
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
VEL
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 2
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
HUN
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
EIN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
2 - 1
FER
21%
24%
54%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
KIC
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
URB
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |