Vellmar vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HUN
2 - 0
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 3
BAY
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ESC
0 - 3
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 2
FRA
35%
25%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 0
VEL
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 0
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BAU
4 - 0
FER
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
HEK
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KIC
3 - 3
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |