Vellmar vs FCA Darmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VIK
3 - 3
VEL
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 7
FER
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
VEL
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 1
JUG
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
VEL
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FCA Darmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 0
EIN
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HUN
0 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 3
KIC
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
DAR
58%
21%
20%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 3
URB
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |