Vellmar vs FCA Darmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 1
VEL
29%
24%
48%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
JUG
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KIC
5 - 1
VEL
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LOH
2 - 1
VEL
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
ROT
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FCA Darmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DAR
3 - 5
EIW
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FER
3 - 2
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 1
BUC
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
DAR
52%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 3
ESC
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |