Vellmar vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 0
VEL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 5
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 1
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 0
WOR
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HEK
1 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESC
0 - 0
EIN
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOH
0 - 6
ESC
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 1
KKA
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
ESC
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |