Vellmar vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 2
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
3 - 0
WUR
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 4
HUN
66%
18%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SWM
1 - 1
VEL
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 2
WAL
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
3 - 0
SWM
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 1
BUC
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
6 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
URB
3 - 5
BUC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 3
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |