Vellmar vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WOR
2 - 0
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 0
VEL
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAY
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
BRA
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
2 - 0
ESC
38%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
SVB
2 - 0
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
0 - 4
WAL
48%
25%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VIK
2 - 1
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
BUC
3 - 0
SWM
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |