Vellmar vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ROT
4 - 1
VEL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 1
VIK
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
HES
5 - 0
VEL
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 4
WAL
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 2
VEL
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 1
VFB
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 4
BAY
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WAL
4 - 2
BAY
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
VIK
5 - 2
BAY
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -3 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BUC
3 - 4
BAY
21%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |