Vellmar vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 4
KKA
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ESC
3 - 0
VEL
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 5
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 2
BUC
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
KKA
0 - 0
BAU
56%
24%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAU
3 - 5
BUC
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
EWM
2 - 0
BAU
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAU
2 - 2
ERZ
27%
26%
47%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BAU
2 - 6
ESC
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |