Vellmar vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 1
VEL
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
WUR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 2
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
URB
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SWM
1 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FSV
8 - 1
BHE
78%
15%
7%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
BHE
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KIC
0 - 3
BHE
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
URB
5 - 0
BHE
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BHE
1 - 3
BAU
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |