Vélez Sarsfield II vs Newells Old Boys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GLP
1 - 0
VEL
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
VEL
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 2
VEL
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
NOB
2 - 0
PLA
51%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
3 - 0
BRC
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 1
NOB
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
CCS
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |