Vélez Sarsfield II vs Estudiantes La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 1
VEL
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
ACC
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
PLA
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
26%
25%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
28%
25%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |