Vélez Sarsfield II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 0
VEL
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
GLP
0 - 1
VEL
30%
27%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
PAT
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
DYJ
2 - 1
GOC
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
HUR
3 - 0
DYJ
38%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 4
DYJ
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
DYJ
2 - 1
CAU
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |